Karnataka

Basic demographic estimates:
2019, 2020, 2021 population: 65798, 66322, 66845 × 10³ (MoHFW (p160ff))
Yearly population growth: 0.79%
2018/19 crude death rate: 6.3, 6.2 (SRS 2018 (Table 1), SRS 2019 (Table 8))
CRS-SRS level of death registration (2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019): 93.5%, 97.5%, 100%, 100%, 100% (CRS 2019, Statement 21)
NFHS-5 level of death registration: 86.6% (NFHS-5 national report, Table 2.19)
NFHS-5: factsheet, full state report

Mortality report :
Whole state (2021-08-22): factsheet on all cause mortality in Karnataka

Mortality data :
Civil registration data monthly from Jan 2015 to May 2021
Civil registration data Bengaluru monthly from Jan 2019 to May 2021

Articles on mortality:
The News Minute (2021-06-16). [whole state] [CRS data]. Jan 1 to June 15, 2021 compared to the same period during 2018 and during 2019.
The Hindu (2020-09-03). [Bengaluru][CRS data]. Jan to July, 2020 compared to the same period in 2019 (49,135 in 2020, compared to 37,001 in 2019: excess: 12134).
The News Minute (2021-06-16). [Bengaluru][CRS data]. Jan 1 to June 15 2021, compared to roughly the same period during 2018 and 2019, although there is a possible mismatch in locations.

COVID-19:
Cases and recorded deaths (from covid19india.org and covid19bharat.org):
All time:


Recent:


Expected COVID-19 IFR (O'Driscoll et al, Levin et al): 0.2784%, 0.4693%.

COVID-19 seroprevalence surveys and analysis :
1. Whole state. CPHS survey.

• Description: Survey across 20 of 30 districts. Relatively small sample from CPHS survey. Possible biases.
• Dates: June 15 to August 29, 2020
• Headline: 46.7% (44.1% in rural areas, 53.8% in urban areas)
• Links: medrxiv (technical)

2. Whole state. DHFWS survey.

• Description: Serosurvey combined with RT-PCR testing to assess total prevalence
• Dates: September 3 to 16 2020
• Headline: 16.4% seropositivity, 12.7% active infection, estimated prevalence: 27.3%
• Links: medrxiv (technical)

3. Bangalore, Chitradurga, Gulbarga. Second National Serosurvey.

• Description: data extracted from supplementary information of report on third national serosurvey
• Dates: Aug 18 to Sept 20 2020
• Headline: 14.45% (Bangalore: 18.6%, Chitradurga: 6.0%, Gulbarga: 18.9%)
• Links: Int J Infect Dis (technical)

4. Bangalore, Chitradurga, Gulbarga. Third National Serosurvey.

• Description: data extracted from supplementary information of report on third national serosurvey
• Dates: Dec 18, 2020 to Jan 6, 2021
• Headline: 28.08% (Bangalore: 34.0%, Chitradurga: 23.3%, Gulbarga: 27.3%)
• Links: Int J Infect Dis (technical)