Mapping the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in India

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A collection of resources to help track and understand the Indian COVID-19 epidemic, focussed on demographic data, seroprevalence and mortality.

(Website under construction.)

India

Basic demographic estimates:
2019, 2020, 2021 population: 1332900, 1347121, 1361343 × 103 (MoHFW (p160ff))
Yearly population growth: 1.06%
2018 crude death rate: 6.2 (SRS 2018 (Table 1))
CRS-SRS level of death registration (2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019): 75.3%, 76.8%, 78.3%, 84.6%, 92% (CRS 2019, Statement 21)

Mortality data :
Civil registration data monthly data from various sources for various states and cities
Civil registration data monthly data from various sources for various states and cities

Articles on mortality:
preprint on medrxiv (Banaji and Gupta) (2021-10-01). National estimates of excess mortallity based on civil registration data from twelve states.
Technical report (Banaji and Gupta) (2021-08-30). National estimates of excess mortallity based on civil registration data from twelve states.
Technical report (Banaji and Gupta) (2021-08-24). Background material on death registration, and possible underestimation of baseline mortality, relevant to understanding civil registration data
Preprint on medrxiv (Deshmukh, Suraweera et al) (2021-07-23). Excess mortality in India from June 2020 to June 2021 during the COVID pandemic: death registration, health facility deaths, and survey data
Working paper (Anand, Sandefur and Subramanian) (2021-07-20). Estimates of excess mortality based on civil registration data, survey data from the CPHS, and epidemiological considerations
Preprint on medrxiv (Leffler, Lykins and Yang) (2021-08-04). [CRS data]. Estimates of excess mortality based on civil registration data
Technical report (Banaji, Kumarappan and Gupta) (2021-06-09). A compilation of reports of suspected COVID-19 deaths across villages in UP, MP, Bihar, Jharkhand, Rajasthan and Haryana during the first three weeks of May 21.

COVID-19:
Cases and recorded deaths (from covid19india.org):
COVID trajectory

Expected COVID-19 IFR (O'Driscoll et al, Levin et al): 0.2449%, 0.4105%.

COVID-19 seroprevalence surveys and analysis :
1. First national serosurvey.2. Second national serosurvey.3. Third national serosurvey.4. Fourth national serosurvey.5. CSIR serosurvey.