Bihar
Basic demographic estimates:2019, 2020, 2021 population: 119520, 121302, 123083 × 103 (MoHFW (p160ff))
Yearly population growth: 1.47%
2018/19 crude death rate: 5.8, 5.5 (SRS 2018 (Table 1), SRS 2019 (Table 8))
CRS-SRS level of death registration (2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019): 29.2%, 25.7%, 38.7%, 31.2%, 51.6% (CRS 2019, Statement 21)
NFHS-5 level of death registration: 36.4% (NFHS-5 national report, Table 2.19)
NFHS-5: factsheet, full state report
Mortality report :
Whole state (2021-08-22): factsheet on all cause mortality in Bihar
Mortality data :
Civil registration data monthly from Jan 2018 to May 2021
Articles on mortality:
Socarxiv (2021-07-30). [whole state] [survey data]. Results of a small-scale phone survey of PDS beneficiaries during April-June 2021, which found a major surge in mortality
Live Hindustan (2021-04-26). [Patna][crematorium/graveyard data]. One crematorium seeing around three times the usual number of cremations during three weeks in April
NDTV (2021-06-19). [whole state] [CRS data]. Jan 1-May 31, 2021 relative to the same period in 2019
Scroll (2021-07-11). [whole state] [CRS data]. Analysis of Bihar's first wave excess mortality as evidenced by CRS data
COVID-19:
Cases and recorded deaths (from covid19india.org and covid19bharat.org):
All time:
Recent:
Expected COVID-19 IFR (O'Driscoll et al, Levin et al): 0.1793%, 0.2962%.
COVID-19 seroprevalence surveys and analysis :
1. Begusarai, Muzaffarpur, Buxar, Madhubani, Purnia, Arwal. Second national serosurvey.
- Description: six districts surveyed as part of the second national serosurvey
- Dates: August 17-September 22, 2020
- Headline: 16% (Begusarai: 14.4%, Muzaffarpur: 16.4%, Buxar: 13.0%, Madhubani: 23.0%, Purnia: 10%, Arwal: 16.9%)
- Links: Dainik Bhaskar (news), The Wire (technical)
- Description: six districts surveyed as part of the fourth national serosurvey
- Dates: June 14 to July 6, 2021
- Headline: 73% (Begusarai: 72%, Muzaffarpur: 65%, Buxar: 83%, Madhubani: 77%, Purnia: 65%, Arwal: 73%)
- Links: Dainik Bhaskar (news)
- Description: data extracted from supplementary information of report on third national serosurvey
- Dates: Aug 18 to Sept 20 2020
- Headline: 15.78% (Arwal: 16.9%, Begusarai: 14.5%, Buxar: 13.0%, Madhubani: 23.7%, Muzaffarpur: 16.4%, Purnia: 10.0%)
- Links: Int J Infect Dis (technical)
- Description: data extracted from supplementary information of report on third national serosurvey
- Dates: Dec 18, 2020 to Jan 6, 2021
- Headline: 25.1% (Arwal: 28.4%, Begusarai: 18.6%, Buxar: 28.7%, Madhubani: 28.0%, Muzaffarpur: 23.2%, Purnia: 23.7%)
- Links: Int J Infect Dis (technical)